FTSE China A50 index futures rose 0.75% at the beginning, and closed up 0.84% in the last trading day and night.South Korea's Ministry of Finance: Considering the economic fundamentals, South Korea's exchange rate fluctuates too much.Sources: The current Secretary-General of OPEC, Ghais, will be re-elected. Four representatives of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said that the organization will re-elect the current Secretary-General Haitham Al-Ghais for a three-year term at a virtual meeting on December 10th. A source said that the meeting will start at 18:30 Beijing time today and is expected to be short and only deal with administrative affairs.
Many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. "Is it safe to travel to South Korea?" On the 9th, travelnoire, a platform focusing on African tourists, raised such a question. According to the report, the recent political events in South Korea have cast a shadow over this popular tourist destination. In fact, as the emergency martial law storm in South Korea continues to ferment, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea. South Korea's "Asian Economy" reported on the 9th that the political and social uncertainty in South Korea has further intensified, and the inbound tourism market in South Korea, which has just resumed after the epidemic, is once again facing severe challenges. South Korea's New Zealand News Agency reported that due to the increasing political uncertainty in South Korea, many countries have issued travel warnings to South Korea.Guotai Junan: Policy optimization or help improve the long-term return of the expressway industry. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that location advantage determines the return of road production, and policy optimization or help improve the long-term return of the expressway industry. 1) Expressway is the preferred way to deliver high dividends. In the past three years, the A-share market favored high dividends, and the excess returns of expressways were remarkable. The dividend yield depends on the dividend rate and PE valuation level. Expressway is an infrastructure asset with heavy assets and stable returns, with rigid demand and stable cash flow, and the high dividend policy continues, which is in line with market preferences. 2) Resilience of industry operation: In 2023, the repressive demand was released and the performance increased. In the first half of 2024, the industry was under pressure due to the increase of rain and snow and free days. In the second half of 2024, or due to economic impact, the traffic volume and profit of some high-speed vehicles decreased slightly, the traffic demand remained resilient and the cash flow remained stable. 3) The pressure of reinvestment may be expected to improve the policy. Expressway toll prices have been stable for a long time, while the cost of newly built or renovated units has risen sharply, and there is widespread reinvestment pressure in the industry. In the future, the industry is expected to optimize policies, or improve the high-speed return of new construction or expansion to a reasonable level by extending the charging period. 4) Expressway REITs: generally, they are stock road products with excellent location and stable returns. In 2023, the system was under pressure, and in 2024, the expressway REITs with better profit than the industry were among the top gainers. The performance of underlying assets in the future will still be the key to dominate the performance of REITs.CICC interprets the meeting of the Politburo in December: the fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year. CICC issued a document saying that the tone of the Politburo in September will be continued, and this Politburo meeting will further inject confidence into the market, and there will be many new formulations in policy. From the perspective of policy objectives, the demand for growth is more clear, and the expression of "property market and stock market" is also very clear. From the policy direction, expanding domestic demand ranks first, and the tendency to boost consumption and improve people's livelihood is further highlighted. From the policy tone, monetary and fiscal policies are more active, and "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment" is put forward for the first time. In terms of specific policy prospects, we believe that the following aspects are worthy of attention: the intensity of fiscal policy next year is expected to be significantly higher than this year; The loose space of monetary policy may be opened through comprehensive policies, and the structural monetary policy may be significantly overweight; Expand domestic demand in an all-round way, and incremental measures may focus more on consumption; Further promote reform and opening up. Generally speaking, the policy mix is in line with what we judge as "tight credit, loose money and wide finance" in the second half of the financial cycle.
Guotai Junan: OPEC+ once again postponed the increase in production without changing the global increase in production trend, and the supply and demand will still improve. Guotai Junan issued a document saying that since December, the VLCC freight rate has dropped to a low level, and the MR freight rate has rebounded slightly. Recently, OPEC+ decided to postpone production for another quarter until April 2025, and then increase production month by month, until the end of September 2026, the cumulative increase of 2 million barrels per day was completed. If implemented as scheduled, it is estimated that the increase of OPEC+production in 2025-26 will drive the global increase by 0.4%/1.2%. In addition, North America and South America are expected to increase production in 2025. The increase of crude oil production will benefit the growth of oil transportation demand, and the supply of tankers will be rigid in the next few years, and the improvement of supply and demand and the rise of prosperity will still be expected, suggesting that there is an option to lower oil prices.Everbright Securities: Support the innovative development of new business entities in the power sector. Everbright Securities Research Report stated that the National Energy Administration issued the Guiding Opinions on Supporting the Innovative Development of New Business Entities in the Power Sector to guide the innovative development of new technologies, new models and new formats in the power sector: encourage virtual power plants to aggregate distributed photovoltaic, decentralized wind power, new energy storage, adjustable load and other resources to provide flexible adjustment capabilities for the power system; Support qualified industrial enterprises and industrial parks to carry out smart microgrid construction; Support to participate in the electricity market, in order to release more accurate node price signals; In principle, new business entities can be exempted from applying for power business licenses.Bruker sprinted for the IPO of Hong Kong stocks, Bruker Group Co., Ltd. updated its prospectus and tried to list on the main board of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for the second time. The co-sponsors are Goldman Sachs (Asia) Securities and Huatai Financial Holdings. According to Jost Sullivan's report, Bruker's market share in China's patchwork role toy market and China's patchwork toy market is 30.3% and 7.4% respectively. Bruker's toy products are mainly divided into two categories: "assembling role toys" and "building block toys", and the prices of mainstream products range from 19.9 yuan to 399 yuan. Most of Bruco's revenue comes from the sales of products based on Altman IP, accounting for 63.5% and 57.4% of its revenue in 2023 and the first half of 2024 respectively.
Strategy guide
Strategy guide